Gaza | May summary:
- Gaza war unit tracking
- Throughout the month of May, an average of 6.9 IDF brigades operated in Gaza.
- These were used in the invasion of Rafah and in raids in Northern Gaza.
- A total of % of Gaza that had not before been entered was newly cleared.
2️⃣ Timelapse of IDF advances in Rafah every 5 days, since the start of the invasion.
- After 25 days, the speed of the Rafah invasion has synced up with my model.
- My model’s prediction is the black line in the graph below, and the actual speed is the red dot. As you can see, the red dot is on the black line, which means the two are now the same.
- Based on the model, capturing Rafah City will take at least another 30 days.
The original plan for Rafah was 2 divisions with several brigades, which was then downsized dramatically for political reasons. Since then the IDF has very gradually been increasing their forces again.
- The invasion started with 2 brigades and is now at 6 brigades. The original plan ...
Source: /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
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