Putin has a dilemma after Ukraine’s offensive in Kursk, and he will probably try to escalate his way out of it. That will require a policy change where Russia starts using their conscripts in the war. It will be politically dangerous for Putin, but it can substantially increase the size of their fighting force.
Russia’s initial response indicates that they are pursuing this path but proceeding slowly to avoid domestic backlash.
0:00 Intro
0:35 Ukraine’s goals
1:57 Russia’s military dilemma
3:22 Making the frontline longer
5:13 Putin’s political dilemma
5:57 Three groups of soldiers
8:04 A trend toward escalation
9:08 Engaging the conscripts
11:39 Diversion from Ukraine frontline
12:20 Ukraine will face a conscript army
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