A Volcanic Eruption is Imminent in Iceland; Alert Level Raised to Orange
A volcanic eruption appears imminent in Iceland approximately 25 kilometers southwest of the city of Reykjavik. This new eruption is likely to occur at the Fagradalsfjall volcano, potentially sending lava flows in one of two eruptions. While I suggest that an eruption could occur at early as 8 am local time in Iceland on July 6th, it could take days or weeks before magma breaches the surface. This video discusses what might happen next, and how soon the eruption will be, assuming it does occur.
Note: There is still a chance that Fagradalsfjall does not erupt. In my opinion, I believe the odds of an eruption occurring in the next 2 weeks (by July 20th 2023) is 68%.
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Sources/Citations:
[1] / Iceland Met Office
[2] VEIs, dates/years, composition, tephra layer name, DRE estimates, and bulk tephra volume estimates for volcanic eruptions shown in this video which were assigned a VEI 4 or larger without an asterisk after their name are sourced from the LaMEVE database (British Geological Survey © UKRI), Used with Permission
[3] Source of Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) methodology and criteria: Newhall, C. G., and Self, S. (1982), The volcanic explosivity index (VEI) an estimate of explosive magnitude for historical volcanism, J. Geophys. Res., 87(C2), 1231–1238, doi: Accessed / Read by on Oct 5th, 2022
0:00 Magma is on the Move
1:35 Magmatic Intrusions
2:32 Likely Eruption Site
2:52 Lava Flow Pathways
3:48 Conclusion