Solar Activity At High Levels - A Pair of Coronal Holes is Facing Earth - Geomagnetic Storm Watch

Solar activity remained at high levels following multiple M-class flares, the largest of which was a M6.8 flare at 12/14:43 UTC from AR 3811 as it exited the western limb. Region 3814 produced an M2.9 flare at 13/08:37 UTC. Region 3825 was numbered this period as it rotated onto the visible disk and was responsible for an X1.3 flare at 12/09:43 UTC. Other notable activity included an M5.4 flare at 13/06:56 UTC that originated from just beyond the southwest limb. Two large CMEs of note were observed in LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery this period. The first emerged from just beyond the eastern limb, and the second appears to have originated from just beyond the southwestern limb. Neither of these events are expected to have an Earth-directed component at this time. Solar activity is expected to remain at moderate to high levels on 13-14 Sept. M-class flares are expected with a chance of an isolated X-class flare from new Region 3825. Active to G1-G2 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming is likely through 13 Sept. as CME effects persist. Active to G1 levels are likely again on 14 Sept. with the arrival of the 11 Sept. CME. Solar wind flowing from a pair of coronal holes could brush Earth’s magnetic field on Sept. 16. #solarstorm #CME #coronalholes Images credit: AIA/SDO/HMI, SOHO/LASCO, nemesis maturity channel Music credit: YouTube Audio Library Blue Mood - Robert Munzinger